Game 6 Preview + Open Thread: Stars @ Senators

The Dallas Stars visit Ottawa as the Senators look to make it four wins in a row

The Ottawa Senators are coming off a phenomenal week at home, as they went 3-0-0 and have vaulted themselves near the top of the league by 5v5 shot and scoring chance metrics. That’s good! Their home stand continues for two more games, and they hope to stretch their winning streak to four games tonight as they host the Dallas Stars.

While the Senators dominated on Saturday against a much inferior Coyotes team, tonight’s matchup shouldn’t be nearly as easy. The Stars haven’t lost in regulation yet and have a 4-0-1 record; although they’re probably playing over their heads at this point. Still, Ottawa will have to keep up the pace that they have played with during all three games at home.

Here are the projected lines for tonight, with only one notable change:

Game Notes:

  • As of now, Josh Norris’ long-term status is still up in the air. However, we know he’ll be out for at least a few weeks:/

Given what we know about this injury, I’d be prepared for him to miss even more time.

  • It’s interesting that Derick Brassard will step onto the second line right away. I get that he played well with Alex DeBrincat and Claude Giroux, although I feel like the better player, Shane Pinto, should be playing higher up in the lineup. That could definitely change quickly.
  • Without any back-to-back games until the first week of December, it’ll be interesting to see how well Anton Forsberg can hold up.  The longtime journeyman has never carried this heavy of a workload.  He looked fantastic on Saturday, though, and can hopefully keep rolling./

UPDATE: Forsberg may not be good to go tonight, which means we could see 31-year-old Magnus Hellberg in his third career NHL start

  • Jake Sanderson continues to perform admirably. I keep waiting for him to look like a rookie, and perhaps that’ll come at some point soon, but I hope it doesn’t. The Stars will provide a much stiffer test than the Coyotes.
  • As you’ll see below in the team stats, the Stars’ 5v5 shot and chance metrics aren’t nearly as good as their record indicates; the key to their success so far has been on special teams. It seems like they’re due for some regression soon.
  • Dallas is expected to start backup Scott Wedgewood; not having to face Jake Oettinger is a big break for the Senators .
  • Joe Pavelski is someone to look out for tonight, which is crazy to say considering he’s 38 years old. But the man is still tied for the team lead in scoring with 7 points in 5 games. Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz, Mason Marchment, and Tyler Seguin also lead the attack for the Stars.
  • The game starts at 7:00 EST tonight and it can be seen on TSN5 and RDS or you can listen on TSN1200./

Player Stats

Game 11OttawaSenatorsPhiladelphiaFlyers
CategoryPlayer#Player#
GoalsBrady Tkachuk/Shane Pinto6Travis Konecny4
AssistsBrady Tkachuk9Kevin Hayes9
PointsBrady Tkachuk15Travis Konecny11
ShotsAlex DeBrincat47Travis Konecny33
Time on Ice/GPThomas Chabot25:37Tony DeAngelo24:32

Team Stats

Game 11OttawaSenatorsPhiladelphiaFlyers
Category#Rank#Rank
Goals/GP3.75th2.6030th
Goals Against/GP3.624th2.706th
Shots/GP31.915th26.330th
Shots Against/GP34.325th36.730th
Powerplay %21.216th18.923rd
Penalty Kill %78.118th79.414th
Corsi % (5v5 SVA)51.7610th38.2232nd
xGF % (5v5 SVA)52.2312th37.3531st

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