Game 7 preview: Canadiens @ Senators
A preview of the game between the Ottawa Senators and Montréal Canadiens on 30 January 2013.
Note: Tonight is an early start at 7:00 since it is a TSN game. Don't be late.
The Ottawa Senators will once more play without Jason Spezza as they host the Montréal Canadiens. The Senators had an optional skate today, which means I have no idea what the lines are. The only confirmation is that the first line will be Milan Michalek, Kyle Turris and Daniel Alfredsson. Craig Anderson will start in goal.
The one break for Ottawa is that the Habs will rest Carey Price, with Peter Budaj in net. The lines will be updated if they become available, but for now, here are some things to note for tonight:
- Scoring the first goal: Ottawa has only done this once this season, but they still have a 4-1-1 record. I guess they are still pretty good at overturning deficits, but it would be nice to lead from the start for once wouldn't it?
- Cut down on penalties: It is only six games into the season, but Ottawa is once again taking a lot of penalties. They have been on the penalty kill for 14 more minutes than they have been on the power play. That is second worst in the NHL. It is a good thing the Senators are scoring on 26% of their power plays and killing off 88% of the penalty kills. Of the 17 goals scored by the Canadiens, eight have been on the power play.
- Dealing with Andrei Markov: Markov may
be injury pronehave had problems with injuries, but he's had a great start to the season. I don't actually know how he has played, but he has four goals and three assists for seven points. That's one more than Erik Karlsson. However, the four goals have come on only 10 shots. - Zibanejad possibly in top six: After a good game last night that impressed Paul MacLean, will we see Zibanejad in the top six? If Ottawa wants to keep him around this season, it would make sense to see if he can contribute in the top six in the few games they have before the 5-game threshold.
- Spezza's absence: Paul MacLean's comments regarding Spezza didn't sound too optimistic. If he is out long term, can Erik Karlsson and Kyle Turris carry the offence over a significant stretch? Turris is going to see a lot stiffer competition without Spezza, but his early form suggests he might be up to the challenge.
Here are the players stats. If you are not familiar with any of these terms, please check this excellent guide at Arctic Ice Hockey. All stats are from Behind the Net.
NAME | GP | Corsi Rel QoC | Corsi Relative | Off Zone Start % |
Mark Borowiecki | 3 | -0.786 | 17.4 | 66.7 |
Marc Methot | 6 | 1.097 | 14.2 | 55 |
Erik Karlsson | 6 | 0.635 | 12.1 | 55.6 |
Patrick Wiercioch | 4 | -0.212 | 8.8 | 48.6 |
Andre Benoit | 5 | -1.85 | 4 | 60.5 |
Sergei Gonchar | 6 | 1.335 | -17.6 | 44.1 |
Chris Phillips | 6 | 0.504 | -28 | 50 |
A couple notes here. Mark Borowiecki while shielded, has done well in his possession numbers so far. The competition numbers will probably swing wildly at this point, as a significant chunk of the competition's numbers are based on the game against Ottawa. Also, interesting to note that Paul MacLean starts Sergei Gonchar in the defensive zone 44% of the time (ignoring neutral zone starts). Gonchar and Phillips seem to be the go to guys in defensive situations.
NAME | GP | Corsi Rel QoC | Corsi Relative | Off Zone Start % |
Mika Zibanejad | 1 | 0.283 | 60.1 | 28.6 |
Erik Condra | 6 | -1.346 | 37.2 | 38.9 |
Peter Regin | 6 | -0.593 | 22.3 | 46.4 |
Jim O'Brien | 6 | -0.391 | 15.8 | 33.3 |
Chris Neil | 6 | 1.127 | 2.6 | 47.7 |
Jason Spezza | 5 | -0.807 | -2 | 64 |
Colin Greening | 6 | 1.473 | -3.2 | 53.8 |
Daniel Alfredsson | 5 | 1.868 | -6.2 | 54 |
Jakob Silfverberg | 6 | -0.369 | -6.3 | 67.4 |
Zack Smith | 6 | 0.784 | -8.5 | 43.6 |
Kaspars Daugavins | 2 | 1.177 | -9 | 70 |
Milan Michalek | 6 | -0.387 | -9.1 | 62.5 |
Kyle Turris | 6 | 1.275 | -18.2 | 55.4 |
Guillaume Latendresse | 5 | 1.768 | -18.7 | 56.1 |
The one thing I am flabbergasted about is that Kyle Turris has absolutely horrendous possession numbers. I would not have expected that at all. Latendresse-Turris-Alfredsson are the only line that has been outshot so far. The reason everyone's relative corsi is negative is because of how much the fourth line has been better than anyone else.
As a special bonus, our very own Peter had a question and answer session with Andrew from Habs Eyes on the Prize