Game 66 Preview: Ottawa Senators @ Florida Panthers

Let’s start with the good news: although the Ottawa Senators have lost seven in a row, there’s another team in their division doing just as bad. Thank you, Detroit!

Anyway: Marc Crawford’s crew has to quickly hit the reset button after last night’s debacle against Tampa Bay, as they face a Florida team that’s of significantly lower quality, despite some familiar faces...

Here’s how the Sens will be lining up, with Anders Nilsson in net and Christian Wolanin re-entering the rotation. As of now, there’s no word on who will be coming out for the young defenceman, but my money will be on the left-handed Ben Harpur:

Meanwhile, here’s how Bob Boughner’s been rolling the Panthers lately, with starting goalie Roberto Luongo in net:

Game Notes

• The Panthers have some really good pieces, including five top-six forwards (Huberdeau, Barkov, Hoffman, Dadonov, Trocheck), two top-pair defencemen (Yandle, Ekblad), and some decent NHL-ready forwards currently playing with them (Borgstrom, Hawryluk, Hunt) or soon to come (Noel, Tippett, Heponiemi). Where they really need help is on defence, where Mark Pysyk has taken a step back, and in the goaltending department.
• Pierre Dorion gets a lot of (deserved) flack for being a bottom-tier NHL GM, but I think Dale Tallon should be in the running as well. He gets a lot of credit for putting together a decent Chicago team, albeit with many high picks, but losing two top-six forwards to Vegas to protect the (now traded) Alex Petrovic, in addition to Jason Demers (Arizona), are moves that have hurt his current team dearly.
• Ex-Sens player Mike Hoffman has delivered for him, though, with the winger finally putting up his 30-goal season. We always knew he could...
• Alex Barkov plays 22.5 minutes a night (!!!), and is a tremendous talent, but hasn’t consistently been a positive, play-driving forward this year.
• Despite the fact that the team will likely miss the playoffs again, Bob Bougher’s systems seem to be helping, with the team ranking top-10 in some major statistical categories (goals per game, shots for per game, shots against per game, PP%, PK%).
• On Ottawa’s end: Anthony Duclair continues to impress, and may certainly be worth a one-year deal to see what he can do with a new coaching staff next season.
• The team’s bottom pair of Mark Borowiecki and Christian Jaros have been crushed at 5-on-5. The two are similar players — physical, active in the neutral zone, working on their offensive instincts, and struggle to exit their zone with control. Crawford noted that the Sens will try a rotation with their defencemen for the rest of the season, and I’d expect everyone but Thomas Chabot to get a turn sitting. /

Here are some stats, via nhl.com and naturalstattrick.com:

Team Stats

	Ottawa	Senators	St. Louis	Blues
Category	Value	Rank	Value	Rank
Goals/GP	2.93	18th	2.87	19th
Goals Against/GP	3.71	31st	2.75	7th
Shots/GP	29.9	23rd	31.6	16th
Shots Against/GP	36.0	31st	28.6	3rd
Powerplay %	20.0	14th	20.4	13th
Penalty Kill %	79.4	22nd	80.8	13th
Corsi (5v5, Score & Venue Adjusted)	44.49	31st	51.61	9th
Fenwick (5v5, SVA)	45.01	31st	52.36	9th

Player Stats

	Ottawa	Senators	St. Louis	Blues
--	Player	#	Player	#
Goals	Brady Tkachuk	16	Vladimir Tarasenko	28
Assists	Thomas Chabot	36	Ryan O'Reilly	41
Points	Thomas Chabot	49	Ryan O'Reilly	67
Shots	Brady Tkachuk	170	Vladimir Tarasenko	235
TOI/GP	Thomas Chabot	24:03	Alex Pietrangelo	23:51