Game 6: Philadelphia Flyers @ Ottawa Senators

The Ottawa Senators will start a run of three games at Scotiabank Place when they host the Philadelphia Flyers tonight. From Ian Mendes, the Senators have beaten the Flyers seven games in a row in Ottawa, outscoring them 29-13. So we are good for a win right?

Here are the lines courtesy of the Ottawa Sun:

Colin Greening - Jason Spezza - Mika Zibanejad
Milan Michalek - Stéphane Da Costa - Daniel Alfredsson
Nick Foligno - Peter Regin - Chris Neil
Zack Smith - Zenon Konopka - Erik Condra

Filip Kuba - Erik Karlsson
Chris Phillips - Brian Lee
Jared Cowen - David Rundblad

Alex Auld (starter)
Craig Anderson

Stats and talking points after the jump.

Here are my talking points:

  • Who plays against top line: Now that Phillips has been reunited with Lee, and the Senators are at home and can control machups, will Phillips play largely against the Claude Giroux line? If MacLean goes with Erik Karlsson again, it will definitely be a signal of Karlsson's rising role.
  • Rookie pairing: How long will the pairing of Cowen/Rundblad last and how heavily will they be protected?
  • Spreading out the offence: When the Senators needed offence against Washington, Paul MacLean loaded up on Spezza, Alfredsson and Michalek. He has gone back to splitting them apart, will that last?
  • Auld starts again: Auld was good against Washington, though the winning goal was a terrible one to give up. How will he fare tonight?
  • Strong defence: The Senators defence turned in their best defensive performance of the season, considering the talent on the other side. Can they hold a similarly potent Flyers lineup in check?

Here are the 2011-2012 comparative statistics for the Senators and the Flyers:

Category Ottawa Enemy - Philadelphia
Value Rank Value Rank
Goals For per game 2.60 16th 3.00 7th
Goals Against per game 4.60 30th 2.00 6th
5 on 5 GF/GA ratio 0.43 30th 2.33 2nd
Shots for per game 31.6 11th 29.8 18th
Shots against per game 33.2 26th 27.2 6th
Power play % 30.0 3rd 20.8 11th
Penalty kill % 68.0 29th 80.0 21st
Category Ottawa Enemy - Philadelphia
Player Value Player Value
Points Erik Karlsson 6 Claude Giroux 5
Goals Milan Michalek 3 Claude Giroux 3
Assists Erik Karlsson 6 Chris Pronger 4
PP Points Erik Karlsson 5 Chris Pronger 4
Shots Milan Michalek 19 Claude Giroux 13
Hits Chris Neil 20 Zac Rinaldo 8
Avg. Ice time Erik Karlsson 24:13 Chris Pronger 24:09
Face-offs % Zack Smith 63.6 Danny Briere 51.8

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