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Game 45 Preview and Open Thread: Ottawa Senators @ Pittsburgh Penguins

Now with 100% more sibling rivalry

Pittsburgh Penguins v Ottawa Senators Photo by Chris Tanouye/Freestyle Photography/Getty Images

Seeing as how tonight’s game represents the back half of a home and home series, and we just went over all of the same points 48 hours ago, I’ll try to keep this as succinct as possible.

Game Notes:

  • Injuries of note for Ottawa: Rourke Chartier, Tyler Motte, Nikita Zaitsev, and Artem Zub
  • For Pittsburgh: Josh Archibald, Tristan Jarry, Kris Letang, Jeff Petry, Ryan Poehling, Jeff Petry, and Jan Rutta
  • Tonight we should get to see Mathieu Joseph face off against his brother for the first time in the NHL. It now seems that DJ Smith healthy scratched Joseph on Wednesday for your run of the mill missed meeting type of thing. It’s kinda wack and a little old school for my liking but to Smith’s point, the media kinda blew it out of proportion.
  • Josh Norris looked a lot more rested than rusted on Wednesday, leading Sens skaters in five-on-five expected goals-for percentage, in his first game back in months.
  • Reliable goaltending continues to elude the Senators. I don’t have anything to add other than hope the best and expect the worst.
  • Pittsburgh has their most pronounced advantage when it comes to even strength shooting and goaltending. They convert at even strength and their goalies make the saves they need to. Ottawa has not had the same fortune and has over-relied on special teams to win whatever games they can. This does not lend itself to sustained success in the NHL.
  • On that note, Ottawa has a slight advantage on special teams as we saw on Wednesday courtesy of a red-hot powerplay. In fairness I think Pittsburgh has a slightly better penalty kill than Ottawa but it mostly washes out as do the five-on-five shot rates.

Expected and Actual Goals

Team 5V5 xGF/60 5V5 Sh% 5V5 xGA/60 5V5 Sv% PP xGF/60 PP Sh% PK xGA/60 PK Sv%
Team 5V5 xGF/60 5V5 Sh% 5V5 xGA/60 5V5 Sv% PP xGF/60 PP Sh% PK xGA/60 PK Sv%
Ottawa 2.86 6.20 2.62 90.44 9.36 17.23 8.49 88.71
Pittsburgh 2.85 8.20 2.60 92.01 8.83 14.16 7.98 88.36
  • As we’ve said since the Bush administration, don’t mess around with 87 and 71 on the ice.

Where to watch/listen: RDS, TSN5, TSN1200 @7PM EST

Lines from Last Game:

Ottawa Senators

Tkachuk - Stützle - Batherson
Norris - Giroux - DeBrincat
Brassard - Pinto - Gambrell
Kelly - Kastelic - Watson

Chabot - Bernard-Docker
Sanderson - Hamonic
Holden - Brännström

Pittsburgh Penguins

Guentzel - Crosby - Rust
Zucker - Malkin - Rakell
O'Connor - Blueger - Carter
McGinn - Gruden - Kapanen

Pettersson - Friedman
Dumoulin - Smith
Joseph - Ruhwedel

Stats:

Players

Game 45 Ottawa Senators Pittsburgh Penguins
Game 45 Ottawa Senators Pittsburgh Penguins
Category Player # Player #
Goals Tim Stützle 20 Sidney Crosby 21
Assists Brady Tkachuk 30 Sidney Crosby 31
Points Brady Tkachuk 46 Sidney Crosby 52
Shots Brady Tkachuk 187 Rickard Rakell 135
ATOI Thomas Chabot 26:01 Kris Letang 24:32

Teams

Game 45 Ottawa Senators Pittsburgh Penguins
Game 45 Ottawa Senators Pittsburgh Penguins
Category Rank # Rank #
Goals 25th 2.93 13th 3.20
Goals against 19th 3.22 16th 3.04
Shots 6th 33.2 13th 31.9
Shots against 18th 31.2 27th 33.3
Powerplay 4th 27.4% 17th 20.9%
Penalty Kill 8th 81.5% 7th 81.5%
Corsi% (5V5SVA) 15th 51.2% 19th 50.4%
xGoals% (5V5SVA) 16th 51.5% 9th 52.7%