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Game 41 Preview and Open Thread: Ottawa Senators @ Arizona Coyotes

Now THIS is a trap game

Arizona Coyotes v Ottawa Senators Photo by Andrea Cardin/Freestyle PhotographyGetty Images

Heading into this season, we would have liked to have had this game circled as a scheduled ‘W’ but with two losses and a minus-seven goal differential to their name this past week, the Ottawa Senators probably shouldn’t throw any rocks from their glass house. Sometimes you have to look in the mirror and ask who really looks like a toilet team. (The answer is both right now).

Game Notes:

  • First and foremost, congratulations to Mark Kastelic who gets to play an NHL game in his hometown. That seems really flippin’ cool, especially for someone who took the long road to professional hockey in the first place and comes from somewhere where they don’t play that much hockey.
  • The Senators have the opportunity (please don’t mess this up) to get to a clean 41 points in 41 games. It ain’t a playoff spot but looks better on paper than a losing record.
  • With that in mind, Ottawa has the statistical advantages almost across the board, with special teams in particular favouring Ottawa. I should note that the Coyotes convert more chances at five-on-five but then again so does just about every team in the NHL. Uninspiringly for Ottawa, Arizona also has enjoyed comparable five-on-five goaltending so maybe the Sens should get that cleaned up at some point.
  • Ottawa also deserves some credit for cleaning up their game and getting to a point when they draw more penalties than they take. Early in the season, minor infractions really plagued this team.

Expected and Actual Goals

Team 5V5 xGF/60 5V5 Sh% 5V5 xGA/60 5V5 Sv% PP xGF/60 PP Sh% PK xGA/60 PK Sv%
Team 5V5 xGF/60 5V5 Sh% 5V5 xGA/60 5V5 Sv% PP xGF/60 PP Sh% PK xGA/60 PK Sv%
Ottawa 2.82 6.52 2.63 90.88 9.28 17.01 8.45 89.70
Arizona 2.03 8.98 2.81 90.87 5.75 15.15 9.71 84.85
  • Injuries for Ottawa: Rourke Chartier, Mathieu Joseph, Tyler Motte, Josh Norris, Nikita Zaitsev
  • Injuries for Arizona: Andrew Ladd, Matias Maccelli, Liam O’Brien
  • If the Coyotes lines below look bizarre then I should probably clarify that Andre Tourigny hit the ol’ 7-11 last time out. I—don’t miss those days at all.

Where to watch/listen: TSN5, RDS2, TSN1200 @9PM EST

Lines from Last Game:

Ottawa Senators

Tkachuk - Stützle - Giroux
DeBrincat - Pinto - Batherson
Kelly - Gambrell - Lucchini
Brassard - Kastelic - Watson

Chabot - Zub
Sanderson - Hamonic
Brännström - Holden

Arizona Coyotes

Keller - Hayton - Schmaltz
Crouse - Bjugstad - Guenther
Ritchie - Boyd - Fischer
Kassian - McBain

Chychrun - Gostisbehere
Välimäki - Moser
Nemeth - Stecher - Brown



Game 41 Ottawa Senators Arizona Coyotes
Game 41 Ottawa Senators Arizona Coyotes
Category Player # Player #
Goals Tim Stützle 18 Crouse/Keller 14
Assists Brady Tkachuk 26 Clayton Keller 23
Points Brady Tkachuk 40 Clayton Keller 37
Shots Brady Tkachuk 174 Clayton Keller 90
ATOI Thomas Chabot 26:08 Jakob Chychrun 22:43


Game 41 Ottawa Senators Arizona Coyotes
Game 41 Ottawa Senators Arizona Coyotes
Category Rank # Rank #
Goals 24th 2.95 28th 2.70
Goals against 18th 3.15 28th 3.64
Shots 6th 32.8 32nd 24.8
Shots against 21st 31.8 30th 34.0
Powerplay 6th 27.2% 23rd 19.7%
Penalty Kill 5th 82.9% 24th 73.9%
Corsi% (5V5SVA) 16th 51.2% 30th 42.8%
xGoals% (5V5SVA) 18th 51.0% 30th 41.8%