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Game 73 Preview and Open Thread: Ottawa Senators @ Detroit Red Wings

It’s game three of the Toilet Bowl!

Ottawa Senators v Detroit Red Wings Photo by Dave Reginek/NHLI via Getty Images

After the Ottawa Senators swept their home-and-home series to start the month, one would imagine that the Detroit Red Wings have a bit of a chip on their shoulder. Detroit hasn’t lost in regulation since those back-to-back losses against the Sens, and Ottawa has lost three of four since then.

Based on Ottawa’s lines at the morning skate, Michael Del Zotto will replace Victor Mete, and head coach DJ Smith considers Drake Batherson a game-time decision. It also looks like the trend will continue with Anton Forsberg starting this road game:

Thomas Greiss likely starts for Detroit, and the Red Wings ran these lines and pairings at practice yesterday:

Game Notes

  • Since the trade deadline specifically, Greiss has outperformed Alex Nedeljkovic with a 91.6 save percentage (over that same span Forsberg has a save percentage of 91.1 so we should get a surprisingly close matchup in net).
  • The usual suspects have driven Detroit’s offence over the same span with Jakub Vrana and Dylan Larkin averaging about a point-per-game each since the deadline. For the Sens, you already know the Mathieu Joseph, Brady Tkachuk, and Josh Norris have led the way the past three weeks.
  • At a team level, the Sens and Wings have followed similar trajectories since the deadline with nine points each in ten games played (including those two head-to-head).
  • Since reconfiguring their defence, Ottawa has moved near the top ten in penalty kill shot suppression (5.76 xGA/60) while Detroit remains in the bottom ten league wide (10.47 xGA/60). Both teams have looked better on the powerplay in terms of generating offence with Ottawa (and some healthy forwards) in the top five (9.02 xGF/60) and Detroit in the middle of the pack (7.23 xGF/60).
  • At five-on-five, both teams still struggle but Ottawa has cleaned up their defence over the past ten games to get closer to average (48.99 CF% 5V5) and Detroit ranks closer to the bottom league-wide (47.73 CF% 5V%).

Where to watch/listen: TSN5, RDS, TSN1200 @730PM EST

Stats

Players

Game 73 Ottawa Senators Detroit Red Wings
Game 73 Ottawa Senators Detroit Red Wings
Category Player # Player #
Goals Josh Norris 32 Dylan Larkin 31
Assists Brady Tkachuk 30 Moritz Seider 40
Points Brady Tkachuk 56 Dylan Larkin 68
Shots Brady Tkachuk 249 Dylan Larkin 200
TOI Thomas Chabot 26:22 Moritz Seider 23:08

Teams

Game 73 Ottawa Senators Detroit Red Wings
Game 73 Ottawa Senators Detroit Red Wings
Category Rank # Rank #
Goals 26th 2.65 21st 2.82
Goals against 23rd 3.23 32nd 3.77
Shots 20th 30.04 22nd 29.42
Shots against 26th 32.81 27th 33.22
Powerplay 21st 19.6% 26th 17.2%
Penalty Kill 15th 80.0% 31st 73.6%
Corsi (5V5SVA) 21st 47.9% 28th 45.5%
xGoals (5V5SVA) 24th 47.0% 26th 46.5%