FanPost

Senators look ahead for Nov 12 to Nov 18

There are no gurantees that the games will happen as scheduled this weekend but regardless it's looking like a weekend we could steal a point or two as we play some powerhouses that for different reasons might not bring their "A" game.

*All start times are ET*


Saturday November 13th vs Pittsburgh 7 pm

Season record: 5-3-4, 7th in Metro
Last 10: 4-3-3
Previous meetings this season: None
Series record since 2019-20: 2-0 Pittsburgh

Injuries:

  • Sidney Crosby COVID protocols
  • Brian Dumolin COVID protocols
  • Evgeni Malkin LTIR (Knee)
  • Marcus Petterson Undisclosed (Day to Day)
We thought it was hard to put together a roster every night but Pittsburgh has only dressed 8 skaters for every game this year. Crosby has only played 1 game, Malkin has been out all year, Dumolin, Kris Letang, Jake Guentzel and Jeff Carter have all missed time at various points. The Penquins suprised some to start the year with a win over Tampa and a big 7-1 win over Toronto, but since that game have lost 5 of 7. Their wins came in overtime and a shootout and their last 4 have gone beyond 60 minutes so get ready for some extra hockey Saturday.

With some offence lacking the pressure has fallen on Triustian Jarry who is putting up caeer best numbers through 10 starts with a GAA of 2.23 and a .929 SV%. Even more suprising is the second line undrafted Center the penquins have been forced to use in Evan Rodrigues who is tied for the team lead in points with 4 goals and 4 assists. Playing on a line with Kasperi Kapinen and Jason Zucker certainly helps but he has more than held his own.

Betting against a special teams goal in this one should be a safe bet. WIthout Crosby and Malkin the Penquins are only scoing on 10 per cent of their powerplays (30th in the league), but they do ahve the league's top penalty kill at 93.33 per cent, only allowing 1 goal in their last 9 games. It should be low scoring which plays into the hands of a team that has struggled at times to score.

Sunday Novermber 14th vs Calgary 5 pm

Season record: 7-3-3, 3rd in Pacific
Last 10: 6-2-2
Previous meetings this season: None
Series record since 2019-20: 7-4 Ottawa

Injuries:

  • Brett Ritchie Lower Body (IR)

We might be catching Calgary at the right point as they have lost consecutive games in regulation after getting points in 10 straight games. Jacob Markstrom has had a great start to the year with 4 shutouts to start the year in 11 starts. Unsuprisingly Calgary under new coach Brent Sutter who took over last season is 2nd best in the league for goals against but they have allowed 4 goals in 3 of their last 4 games and will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days after coming east from San Jose so tired legs could be a factor.

Offesnively the Flames are int he top quarter of the league ranking 7th. The decision to keep Gaudreau and Tkachuk looks wise as the top line with those 2 and the highly undererated Elias Lindholm centering them has combined for 40 per cent of Calgary's goals. In Andrew Mangiapane the Flames have even managed to get their top scorer on the second line as he appears to be feasting on weaker defensive matchups, which we all know could be a problem against Ottawa.

The flames do a good job rotating all 4 lines and keeping their top defenmsive pairing fresh as only Rasmus Anderson averages over 22 minutes. On the third pairing doing a good job playing well enough to justify spreading the ice time is Eric Gudbranson, doing a terrific job of making me question why we can't have nice things after the way he played last season. Maybe Clagary has an off night and looks at this as an easy win as they start to feel the fatigue of a tough road trip.

Tuesday November 16th @ New Jersey

Season record: 7-3-2, 4th in Metro
Last 10: 5-3-2
Previous meetings this season: None
Series record since 2019-20: 2-1 New Jersey

Injuries:

  • Jack Hughes IR (Shoulder)
  • Miles Wood IR (Hip)
  • Christian Jaros IR (Hand)

In a matchup of the two youngest teams in the league you can see a difference in opinion on how a rebuild should be progressed. New Jersey went out and signed Dougie Hamilton, and trading a 2nd rounder for Ryan Graves which is now their top pairing. The top pairing isn't the only reason but the Devils have gone from 27th in goals against per game up to 11th this season. Throw in a trade for a player strugling but with some potential in Andreas Johnsson who now leads the team with 10 points in 11 games. Maybe those moves will look bad when money is tight or having a young talent would be helpful but for now it's hard to argue with the results they've shown.

Another young player from the top of the 200 class will be lining up as Alexander Holtz has played in the last 4 games for New Jersey after being taken 7th overall. He only has 1 point but is playing on the top line with Nico Hischier, the 2017 top overall pick, and Pavel Zacha so he is being given a chance to produce. The 2nd line is another tough matchup with the previoulsy mentioned Johnsson and Jesper Bratt centered by another 2020 first rounder in Dawson Mercer who was picked 18th overall and has 8 points this season.

In goal the Devils have had issues starting 4 different goalies already this year but expect either Mackenzie Blackwood or Jonathan Bernier to get the start who have combined for a 6-1-1 record. The two expected starters have a combined .925 SV% and averaged 2.35 goals against. One thing to keep an eye out for is shorthanded goals, the Devils are tied for 2nd in shorthanded goals for and also tied for 2nd in shorthanded goals against, Ottawa has none of either so maybe we'll get an unexpected special teams goal.

Thursday November 18th vs Nashville 7 pm

Season record: 8-5-1, 4th in Central
Last 10: 7-2-1
Previous meetings this season: None
Series record since 2019-20: 1-1 split

Injuries:

  • Filip Forsberg IR (Upper Body)
  • Nick Cousins IR (Undiscolsed)
  • Alex Carriere Day to Day (Upper Body)

Jusse Saros and Roman Josi are combining together to help Nashville be a tough team to score on as the Nashville has only allowed more than 3 goals once in their last 11 games. A top 5 powerplay has been well rounded with 3 goals from Josi, 2 from Duchene, Ryan Johansen and rookie Philip Tomasino. With Duchene, Johansen, potentialy Forsberg, Cousins, Michael Granlund, Eeli Tolvanen the Predators could have quite the top 9 when they face Ottawa.

Honestly on paper Nashville has quite the team if they can get rolling, on defence they have a Norris contender in Josi, veteran Mattias Ekholm, along with youngsters Dante Fabbro and Philippe Myers. The Predators can be a tough defence to beat but even if youn manage that they have a top 10 goalie in the league between the pipes who is in the running to start for Finland for the Olympics.

This is not a good matchup on the ice for the Sens but Nashville will be playing their 8th game on the road as part of a stretch in which they will be away from home for 9 of 10 games. Hopefully by this point Connor Brown, Austin Watson and Shane Pinto can all be back in the lineup to help even out the talent and possibly give the sens an edge pending injuries.

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