Game 72 Preview: Florida Panthers @ Ottawa Senators

Can the Sens not mess up the tank this time?

Just over a week ago, the Senators simultaneously messed up their tank and hurt the Panthers’ playoff chances with an unexpected win in Florida. Tonight, they look to try to make things right by not playing Erik Karlsson or Ryan Dzingel.

UPDATE: The Sens released this update on Karlsson just after publish

Naturally, all our best wishes are with Erik and Melinda during their grief.

According to B. Wallsy (aka TSN’s Brent Wallace) Anderson gets the start, and Filip Chlapik, Jim O’Brien, and Patrick Sieloff will all draw into the lineup. Here are the practice lines:

Smith - Duchene - Hoffman
Ryan - Chlapik - Gaborik
Paajarvi - Pageau - Pyatt
McCormick - O'Brien - Burrows

Harpur - Ceci
Borowiecki - Chabot
Claesson - Sieloff

Anderson (starter)
Condon

Some thoughts:

  • When I was excited to see Filip Chlapik in the top six, I figured he’d be on the Duchene/Hoffman line, not centring Bobby Ryan and Marian Gaborik. Maybe we won’t see his first NHL goal after all. Of course, juggle-happy Guy Boucher will likely move Chlapik around the lineup so he’ll probably get a shot on that top line after all
  • How gross is a top pairing of Ben Harpur and Cody Ceci? Regardless of your opinions on the two, I don’t think anybody sees them as a 25-minute top pairing duo. This could be the future of the team though if we see an Erik Karlsson trade at the draft. Who’s the projected top pick in 2019?
  • Interesting to see Patrick Sieloff get the callup. There was a bit of a debate on Twitter this morning, started by our own Spencer Blake, about whether Sieloff is Belleville’s 5th- or 6th- best defenceman. Either way, that’s probably not your best guy for a callup. I’m wondering how many clips we’ll see of him re-injuring Clarke MacArthur in the lead-up to the game.
  • I thought this organization loved Gabriel Gagne — a tall man who can score. However, seeing them do things like make Erik Burgdoerfer the seventh defenceman, or signing Jim O’Brien to a two-way contract, rather than give Gagne a call up makes me wonder.
  • Ottawa has managed to dismantle some playoff-hungry teams in recent weeks, beating the Panthers, Lightning, and Stars, and ending within a goal of the Flames and Blue Jackets. Let’s see if that continues tonight.
  • Craig Anderson has a .902 on the season, but he hasn’t been below .900 in five games, and even that game was a win against the Golden Knights.
  • The Panthers are first in shots per game (34.5) and 29th in shots against (34.6). That’s the definition of high-event hockey./

Here are some stats (via NHL.com and NaturalStatTrick.com):

Team Stats

CategoryOttawaSenatorsBostonBruins
--ValueRankValueRank
Goals/GP2.6825th3.256th
Goals against/GP3.4430th2.563rd
Shots/GP30.724th32.811th
Shots against/GP33.025th29.32nd
Powerplay %16.726th23.54th
Penalty Kill %76.227th83.34th
Corsi (5v5, Score & Venue Adjusted)46.3229th53.972nd
Fenwick (5v5, SVA)46.9427th54.011st

Player Stats

OttawaSenatorsBostonBruins
--Player#Player#
GoalsMatt Duchene27Brad Marchand34
AssistsErik Karlsson (out)53Brad Marchand51
PointsKarlsson/Stone (both out)62Brad Marchand85
ShotsMike Hoffman253David Pastrnak236
TOI/GPErik Karlsson (out)26:44Zdeno Chara22:53

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