FanPost

2015-16 Fantasy Hockey Predictions

Hey everyone! It's been a while- hopefully you all had a good summer and are ready for the fall, which involves our favourite team....and pie. Lots of pie. Since exciting or controversial Sens related news has been pretty sparse lately, I figured I'd post about something else that a lot of you are probably into as well- fantasy hockey!

Scott Cullen posted on TSN his list of top 300 scorers in the upcoming season a couple of weeks ago: http://www.tsn.ca/crosby-no-1-in-the-top-300-projected-scorers-1.360216

While I think some of his predictions are reasonable, there are a few i think that are out to lunch (Ryan Johansen ahead of Nicklas Backstrom, who usually spends a season feeding Alexander Ovechkin? Really?). So, I figured I would post my take!

I'll start off by saying that this ranking system is based on a pretty simple scoring system- in the snake draft I'm usually in, skaters get 1 point for a goal and 1 point for an assist, while goalies get 2 points for a win and 1 point for a shutout....that's it. No 2 point goals, 3 point shutouts, penalty minutes, or anything else involved. If your pool happens to have more complex rules, you might want to take these rankings with a grain of salt (or maybe take them with a grain of salt anyway)!

I've always done reasonably well in my pool and end up having one or two players getting injured or not living up to expectations and costing me first. Rene Bourque, I will never forgive you for costing me $800 for elbowing the previously mentioned Backstrom in the head...also, Craig Anderson, why did you have to sh*t the bed the one year I finally got Crosby? Anyhoo, I digress.

Normally I wouldn't divulge this information, but since I'm 99% certain nobody I know will see this article unless I go out of my way to advertise it, and if they did they probably wouldn't be in my regular pool, I'm ok with it. Also, I'm not going up against anyone here on the site in any pools, lol.

My ranking system is based on point per game (PPG) averages over the past three years. For example, let's use "Captain Serious" Jonathan Toews: over the past three years, he's scored 48, 68, and 66 points in 47, 76, and 81 games, respectively. This adds up to 182 points in 204 games, or 0.89 PPG. Since he usually plays close to a full season, assuming he plays 78 games, this means he will likely score 69 points this year (while finishing second to Mark Stone in Selke voting).

Now, I realize some things are difficult to predict using strictly this formula. There are always injuries to star players (some of whom may be PPG players, but are risky to take due to this possibility ...*cough* Pavel Datsyuk *cough*), breakout young players, and unexplainable flashes in the pan of greatness. Also, you never know how a player who has been traded or recently signed to a new team will gel with his linemates, despite potential high talent levels. This being said, it's the core around which I work. I'll also arbitrarily add or subtract a few points based on gut instinct at times as well, because I feel like it.

When it comes to goalies, they are a hard bunch to predict, and sometimes may play stellar but be left out to dry by their team, or be average goaltenders on great teams. However, win trends have been somewhat more predictable, therefore I tend to put more weight on wins than shutouts and have ranked them based on expected wins.

The hardest team for me to predict this year is Edmonton...so many first round picks, yet so much failure in recent years. However, with phenom Connor McDavid entering the league as the most hyped prospect since Sidney Crosby, and new management and coaching staff, things could finally be turning around for that team. Since I am totally unsure of what will happen there, I just guessed that the likely players on the top line (Taylor Hall, Jordan Eberle, and McDavid) will get 70 points each. If they happen to get more, great for Edmonton (and whoever picks them), but I just decided to play it conservative based on my gut instinct.

So without further ado, here's my list of the top 125 skaters, 50 defensemen, and 40 goalies. I would love to hear opinions on who should be higher are lower (or, heaven forbid, I left out or overlooked someone altogether)! Will McDavid light it up and get 85 points? Will Jack Eichel get more than the 60 points I guessed at as a fellow rookie of the year candidate? Is leaving Zdeno Chara out of the top 50 defensemen based on his recent injury history insane, due to being a perennial Norris candidate for many years?

Any insight to refine my expectations for the season could be quite useful! I'm going to cop out and only use players' last names, and total expected points, as I'm lazy and it would take more time to write out every detail. So, my apologies if you're not familiar with certain players. However, most of you are pretty hockey savvy and Google is a useful tool, so hopefully it's not a big deal!

FORWARDS (total points)

1. Crosby- 93

2. Tavares- 86

3. Seguin- 84

4. Ovechkin- 83

5. Benn- 83

6. Kessel- 83

7. Backstrom- 79

8. Giroux- 79

9. Stamkos- 78

10. Getzlaf- 77

11. Pavelski- 75

12. Malkin- 75

13. Tarasenko- 75

14. Voracek- 74

15. Johansen- 72

16. Hall- 70

17. McDavid- 70

18. Eberle- 70

19. P. Kane- 70 (disclaimer- not sure what his legal troubles could mean, be wary!)

20. Toews- 69

21. Kucherov- 69

22. J. Thornton- 68

23. Kopitar- 68

24. Pacioretty- 68

25. Couture- 67

26. H. Sedin- 67

27. D. Sedin- 67

28. Johnson- 65

29. Turris- 65

30. Okposo- 64

31. Wheeler- 64

32. Parise- 63

33. Hudler- 63

34. Mackinnon- 62

35. Landeskog- 62

36. Palat- 62

37. Duchene- 62

38. Spezza- 61

39. Marleau- 60

40. Tatar- 60

41. Datsyuk- 60

42. Monahan- 60

43. Stone- 60

44. Gaudreau- 60

45. Oshie- 60

46. Ladd- 60

47. Zetterberg- 60

48. Schwartz- 60

49. Steen- 60

50. Eichel- 60

51. Bergeron- 60

52. Stepan- 60

53. Ryan- 59

54. Little- 59

55. Carter- 59

56. E. Staal- 58

57. Forsberg- 58

58. Vrbata- 58

59. Nash- 57

60. Hossa- 57

61. Hartnell- 57

62. Backes- 57

63. Pominville- 57

64. Iginla- 56

65. Ribiero- 56

66. Foligno- 56

67. Vanek- 56

68. Krejci- 56

69. Huberdeau- 56

70. Sharp- 55

71. Nyqvist- 55

72. Nugent-Hopkins- 55

73. Hornqvist- 55

74. Simmonds- 55

75. Schiefle- 54

76. Van Riemsdyk- 54

77. Filpulla- 53

78. Brassard- 53

79. O'Reilly- 52

80. Toffoli- 52

81. Strome- 52

82. Koivu- 52

83. Plekanec- 51

84. Zibanejad- 50

85. Statsny- 50

86. Lucic- 50

87. Neal- 50

88. Hoffman- 50

89. Gallagher- 50

90. B. Schenn- 50

91. Saad- 50

92. Ennis- 50

93. Galchenyuk- 50

94. Dubinsky- 50

95. Desharnais- 50

96. Kreider- 49

97. MacArthur- 49

98. Callahan- 49

99. Nielsen- 48

100. Eriksson- 48

101. Kesler- 48

102. Bjustad- 48

103. Hayes- 48

104. Marchand- 47

105. E. Kane- 46

106. Kunitz- 46

107. Skinner- 45

108. Silverberg- 45

109. Moulson- 45

110. Kadri- 45

111. Perron- 45

112. Kuznetzov- 44

113. Tanguay- 44

114. Couturier- 42

115. Jagr- 42

116. Fisher- 41

117. Cammalleri- 40

118. Domi- 40

119. Gaborik- 40

120. Yakupov- 40

121. Drouin- 40

122. Niederreiter- 40

123. Williams- 40

124. Nichushkin- 40

125. Bennett- 40

DEFENSE (total points)

1. Some guy that plays for us. No hints.

2. Subban- 57

3. Josi- 56

4. Burns- 54 (no idea if he will counts a D or forward before the season starts?)

5. Carlson- 54

6. Giordano- 52

7. Weber- 52

8. Hedman- 51

9. Shattenkirk- 51

10. Byfuglien- 51 (same issue as Burns)

11. Keith- 51

12. Letang- 50

13. Barrie- 50

14. Pietrangelo- 50

15. Yandle- 48

16. Ekman-Larsson- 47

17. Kronwall- 47

18. Wideman- 47

19. Streit- 47

20. Hamilton- 47

21. Faulk- 46

22. Doughty- 45

23. Klingberg- 44

24. Ekblad- 43

25. Krug- 43

26. Markov- 43

27. Wisniewski- 42

28. Green- 42

29. Suter- 41

30. Vatanen- 41

31. Goligoski- 40

32. Muzzin- 39

33. Stralman- 39

34. Schultz- 38

35. Lindholm- 38

36. McDonough- 38

37. Fowler- 37

38. Sekera- 37

39. J. Johnson- 37

40. Zidlicky- 36

41. Ellis-34

42. Savard- 34

43. Franson- 34

44. Savard- 34

45. Leddy- 34

46. Edler- 33

47. Boychuck- 32

48. E. Johnson- 31

49. Campbell- 31

50. Erhoff- 30

GOALIES (wins)

1. Price- 40

2. Holtby- 39

3. Bishop- 38

4. Fleury- 37

5. Rinne- 37

6. Rask- 35

7. Lundqvist- 34

8. Quick- 34

9. Bobrovsky- 34

10. Halak- 34

11. Crawford- 33

12. Varlamov- 33

13. Andersen- 30

14. Dubnyk- 30

15. Luongo- 27

16. Anderson- 27

17. Miller- 27

18. M. Jones- 27

19. Hiller- 27

20. Niemi- 27

21. Schneider- 25

22. S. Mason

23. Elliot- 24

24. Lehtonen- 24

25. Lehner- 24

26. C. Talbot- 24

27. Mrazek- 23

28. Howard- 22

29. J. Allen- 22

30. Pavelec- 22

31. Bernier- 20

32. Smith- 19

33. Hutchinson- 19

34. Ward- 19

35. Darling- 18

36. Vasilevsky- 17

37. Ramo- 17

38. Hamburglar- 16

39. Lack- 16

40. Gibson- 15

That's all folks- until next time!


This FanPost was written by a member of the Silver Seven community, and does not necessarily reflect the beliefs or opinions of the site managers, editors, or Sports Blogs Nation, Inc.