clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

National Capital Region Junior Hockey Report – Week of October 1st, 2014

New, comments

Covering the latest in news, scores and fancystats for the Ottawa 67’s and the Gatineau Olympiques.

Jana Chytilova/FreestylePhoto

We are back with another week's version NCR Junior Hockey Report where we try and cover all the latest and important news for the Ottawa 67's and the Gatineau Olympiques. It's been almost four weeks now that the QMJHL has been underway and the OHL just started its season. With the NHL camps well under way and plenty of cuts already made, higher end CHL talent is starting to return to the teams. Without much further ado, let's dive deeper into our two teams.

Gatineau Olympiques

After another week of play, the Gatineau Olympiques are now in second place in the West Division. They are tied in points with first place Sherbrooke but have one less win in one more game. Gatineau is currently at 4-1-0-2 and has outscored its opponents 26-22 which looks initially positive. League-wide, the Olympiques are tied with Rimouski and Shawinigan.

Thursday, 5-4 OT Win vs. Cape Breton

Gatineau started off its week with a game against Cape Breton at home. The game did not start off well for Gatineau as Cape Breton took control of the game early on, both in terms of possession and in scoring. Luckily the goals started to flow in during the second period. The game eventually went to overtime where the Olympique emerged victors at 0:33.  Gatineau won 5-4 and led in shots 38 - 26. The goals came from Elie Bérubé, Louick Marcotte (2x), Alex Dostie and Jonathan Bourcier. Both goaltenders got to see some action with Gabriel Parent starting in net, playing 8:28 and making 7 saves on 9 shots.  Anthony Brodeur came in relief to make 15 saves on 17 shots in 55:59. This was the last game for Gabriel Parent who left Gatineau to return to his Quebec Junior AA team.

Saturday, 3-2 SO Loss @ Rouyn-Noranda

The Saturday game started off well for Gatineau. The Olympiques controlled the puck for most of the game, as well as the lead. It was not until the third period when Rouyn-Noranda stepped up its game to finally score. The game went to OT tied 2-2 but nothing came of it, leading to the shootout where Gatineau lost 3-2. The goals for Gatineau were scored by Louick Marcotte and Alexandre Alain. Goaltender Brodeur played in net again making 20 of 22 saves in regular time and 3 of 6 in the shootout.

Sunday, 7-2 Win @ Val-d'Or

On Sunday Gatineau faced Val-d'Or at its home rink. Val-d'Or, the 2014 QMJHL Champions, has been a shell of its former self. Though possession was fairly even, the Olympiques just kept scoring with little in return from Val-d'Or.  The final score 7-2 for Gatineau, with shots at 27-28. The many goals came from Louick Marcotte, Joey Richard, Alexandre Landreville, Jonathan Bourcier (2x), Yakov Trenin and Alexandre Alain  Brodeur got a rest in this game with Nicolas Lachance, the backup goalie, making 26 saves on 28 shots.

Fancystats

No good analytics post is worth it's salt by only looking at the small sample size numbers. That being said, we can turn to CHLStats.com to get an overall view of where the Gatineau Olympiques are sitting. Reminder that it is still early in the season and that these numbers still need more games to regress to the norm.

Team Est. Fenwick Close GP SF SA GF GA SOW SOL Sh% Sv% PDO
Rimouski 58.943% 6 215 144 31 22 0 0 14.419 84.722 99.141
Drummondville 58.3% 6 213 141 22 18 0 0 10.329 87.234 97.563
Saint John 57.54% 6 207 186 26 19 0 2 12.56 90.761 103.321
Moncton 55.882% 6 189 179 22 18 0 0 11.64 89.944 101.584
Blainville-Boisbriand 55.721% 6 168 148 14 18 0 1 8.333 88.435 96.768
Sherbrooke 55.51% 6 225 182 29 19 2 0 12.108 89.56 101.668
Acadie-Bathurst 53.097% 6 184 157 19 24 0 0 10.326 84.713 95.039
Cape Breton 52.56% 7 237 224 36 29 0 0 15.19 87.054 102.244
Gatineau 51.362% 7 199 190 26 22 0 2 13.065 89.362 102.427
Victoriaville 49.175% 7 207 254 29 24 0 1 14.01 90.909 104.919
Shawinigan 47.94% 7 212 222 27 17 0 1 12.736 92.76 105.496
Halifax 47.899% 6 180 185 18 29 0 0 10.0 84.324 94.324
Chicoutimi 47.203% 7 225 223 17 24 2 0 6.726 89.238 95.964
Val-d'Or 44.366% 7 193 227 21 33 1 0 10.417 85.463 95.88
Québec 44.13% 6 155 241 18 26 0 0 11.613 89.212 100.825
Baie-Comeau 43.541% 6 170 189 16 23 1 1 8.876 88.298 97.174
Rouyn-Noranda 43.254% 7 184 198 20 21 1 0 10.383 89.394 99.777
Charlottetown 36.226% 7 174 247 25 30 1 0 13.873 87.854 101.727

Currently Gatineau is ninth overall in possession which looks to be the result of one bad game against Blainville-Boisbriand who are sitting fifth. If these numbers hold true then that means Gatineau has been achieving better results than their true talent and are likely to see some regression. Gatineau's PDO of 102.427 further suggests they have been lucky. But luckily these numbers are not too high that they will see an epic collapse. Expect them to start dropping towards the middle of the pack.

Players to Watch

Currently leading the team in goals is over-ager Louick Marcotte with seven goals in five games. Alexandre Alain and Jonathan Bourcier are in second place with four goals each. Leading the team in points is the enigmatic, draft-eligible, Yakov Trenin with 11 and Louick Marcotte is second. Scout Corey Pronman viewed Trenin this weekend saying he is "an interesting import" and has "size and a high level skill"  Leading in shots, a statistic that is less subjected to random variance, is Alexandre Alain (22), Joey Richard (21) and Jonathan Bourcier (19).

The NHL Central Scouting Service has ranked all of the prospects that are draft eligible and they include a number of Gatineau Prospects with a grade of "B" (a 2nd/3rd round candidate). These prospects include: Alexandre Alain, Alexandre Carrier, and Yakov Trenin.

Upcoming schedule

In the next week the Olympiques have two games on the schedule. With both games at home, Gatineau will face Chicoutimi on Friday evening and then play Baie-Comeau on Sunday for a mid-afternoon game.

Ottawa 67's

Ottawa has finally begun its season. The 67's first game did not go well and right now the team is sitting in fourth place in their division tied for last in points with 0. Ottawa has only played one game which allowed many teams to jump ahead of them in the standings, a feat they should be able to make up soon.

Friday, 3-1 Loss @ Kingston

The 67's opened the season by playing the Frotenacs in Kingston on Friday night. The 67's were not able to keep up with Kingston despite the Fronts lacking its top-end talent in Sam Bennett. The score and puck possession was in Kingston's favour for most of the game. The final score was 3-1, with shots 22-34 in favour of Kingston. The lone Ottawa goal was scored by Ben Fanjoy and assisted by Jeremiah Addison. Netminder Leo Lazarev made 31 saves on 33 shots against.

Fancystats

With an even smaller sample size than the QMJHL the possession numbers at this point in the season are nothing but a mere guess. But so far they are not looking good in favour of the Ottawa 67's. With a few more games this weekend the 67's may find themselves at the top of the charts.

Team Est. Fenwick Close GP SF SA GF GA SOW SOL Sh% Sv% PDO
Erie Otters 60.563% 3 131 84 17 7 0 0 12.977 91.667 104.644
Niagara IceDogs 59.375% 2 84 55 3 6 0 0 3.571 89.091 92.662
Plymouth Whalers 56.842% 2 70 66 9 5 0 0 12.857 92.424 105.281
North Bay Battalion 55.0% 1 37 32 4 5 0 0 10.811 84.375 95.186
Oshawa Generals 54.032% 3 107 83 13 7 0 0 12.15 91.566 103.716
Kitchener Rangers 53.846% 2 71 63 5 9 1 0 5.714 85.714 91.428
Kingston Frontenacs 53.763% 2 66 62 8 4 0 0 12.121 93.548 105.669
Sarnia Sting 53.0% 2 78 74 6 11 0 0 7.692 85.135 92.827
Peterborough Petes 50.98% 1 40 32 3 5 0 0 7.5 84.375 91.875
Owen Sound Attack 50.794% 3 97 96 12 9 0 2 12.371 92.553 104.924
Mississauga Steelheads 50.0% 1 27 40 5 4 0 0 18.519 90.0 108.519
Guelph Storm 49.438% 2 65 61 2 7 0 0 3.077 88.525 91.602
Belleville Bulls 48.889% 2 70 63 8 1 0 0 11.429 98.413 109.842
Sudbury Wolves 45.139% 3 87 127 4 7 0 0 4.598 94.488 99.086
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds 43.617% 2 58 77 10 5 0 0 17.241 93.506 110.747
Saginaw Spirit 43.137% 2 76 84 5 10 0 0 6.579 88.095 94.674
Windsor Spitfires 42.222% 2 52 81 3 7 0 0 5.769 91.358 97.127
Barrie Colts 41.892% 2 58 62 7 9 0 0 12.069 85.484 97.553
Ottawa 67's 40.476% 1 22 34 1 3 0 0 4.545 91.176 95.721
London Knights 37.349% 2 53 73 4 8 1 0 5.769 89.041 94.81

If things were to continue with this order, the 67's, which are currently second last in possession, will most likely not make the playoffs. Thankfully smart hockey people don't make decisions one a one game sample.

Players

With the team as a whole only having scored one goal this season, Ben Fanjoy leads the team in scoring. The OHL is the CHL team with the least amount of data so unfortunately we cannot analyze the players at a shot level.

Similar to Gatineau, a number of 67's were ranked across the spectrum: Travis Konecny (A - 1st round candidate), Dante Salituro (C - 4-6th round Candidate), Artur Tyanulin (C), Troy Helen (C).

Upcoming schedule

Ottawa has a difficult week coming up with a back-to-back-to-back schedule on the road. On Friday night, the 67's face Oshawa, then on Saturday the team travels to Barrie before heading off to Owen Sound for a Sunday matinee game at 2 pm.