FanPost

Pageau is better than Jason Pominville, the numbers say so

Warning: Extreme Sarcasm ahead

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via www.ottawacitizen.com

Before you leave saying this is madness, just hold on!

Not only is JGP better than Jason Pominville, he's better than P.A Parenteau, Michael Grabner, Tyler Seguin, Nathan Horton, Kris Letang, Patrick Sharp, Joe Thornton, and Jeff Carter. That is just the tip of the iceberg, as there are plenty of star caliber players such as Jamie Benn and Evander Kane as well!

Now you're probably wondering what my method to my madness is aren't you?

All I'm using is the simple method of Corsi ratings to demonstrate how good Jean-Gabriel Pageau is, I mean they're always right aren't they?

First off for those of you who don't know what Corsi is well here's a general overview:

Corsi: the most popular advanced stat in the hockey blogosphere, Corsi is a possession metric developed by former Buffalo Sabres goaltending coach Jim Corsi. At its most basic level, Corsi is the plus/minus amount of shots directed at a net while at even strength-blocked shots, shots high and wide, shots that hit, shots that get tipped, etc. A player who has a positive Corsi has more shots directed towards the opponents net while he is on the ice at even strength then shots directed towards his own net under the same criteria. All 10 players on the ice are used when calculating this metric.

Thank you very much www.matchsticksandgasoline.com (The Calgary Flames SB Nation Blog) for describing the most boring exciting stats in all of sports for me. Now, on to the statistics.

# Player Name Team TOI G A FirstA Points Shots iFenwick iCorsi Sh% G/60 A/60 FirstA/60 Points/60 Shots/60 iFenwick/60 iCorsi/60 IGP IAP IPP






















101 PAGEAU, JEAN-GABRIEL Ottawa 91:28 2 1 1 3 13 16 21 15.38 1.312 0.656 0.656 1.97 8.53 10.496 13.775 50.0 25.0 75.0





















103 POMINVILLE, JASON Minnesota 641:19 9 12 6 21 77 113 142 11.69 0.842 1.123 0.561 1.96 7.20 10.572 13.285 26.5 35.3 61.8

As you can see from these charts here, Jean-Gabriel Pageau averages an amazing 1.97 points per 60 minutes at 5 on 5, beating Jason Pominville by a gigantic 0.01 percent meaning Pominville clocks in at a dismal 1.96 points per game at 5 on 5. Ignoring the fact that Pageau only played 9 regular season games and Pominville played 47, and that Pageau only got 3 points 5 on 5 while Pominville got 21 points 5 on 5. The averages are all that matter. And now for the Corsi, which isn't properly displayed in the chart above:

: 59.9% of shot-attempts last year, non-zone adjusted, during regular season. 91-minutes.

(Thank you very much Travis Yost of hockeybuzz.com for he is the master of all things Corsi)

Now that, ladies and gentleman, as Travis Yost and every other blogger who uses Corsi has shown, is a very good Corsi %. In fact for the 2012-2013 season that statistic puts Pageau as the 22nd best puck possession player in the league, tied with Tyler Seguin. Now again, there may be some flaws to that stat, because if we base our facts on saying that the rankings determine how good a player is, well that would mean that Matt Kassian is a better player than Sidney Crosby which is obviously not the case. However it does do a good job of demonstrating puck possession time. The reason Matt Kassian is so high is because in his limited amount of TOI he manages to gain very few shots and since his TOI is so low he gets off the ice before the other team has time to make it down the ice and score. Now to show you the extent of how little shots he takes well here it is:

Matt Kassian:

3.761 Shots/60 minutes on 5 on 5

And then Pageau's shot average

8.528 Shots/60 minutes on 5 on 5

Pageau nearly doubles Kassian in shots and both played nearly the same amount of minutes last year. This proves that Matt Kassian is just a goon being rotated in and out of the lineup. Either that or Kassian is secretly a bona fide sniper who just hasn't unleashed his full potential yet. Your choice

Anyways....

Back on topic. So as mentioned earlier, Pageau's Corsi is 59.9 % of shot-attempts. So how is Pominville's? Let's see:

# Player Name Team TOI CF20 CA20 CF% CSh% CSv% CPDO TMCF20 TMCA20 TMCF% OppCF20 OppCA20 OppCF% OZFO% DZFO% NZFO% Corsi HARO Corsi HARD Corsi HART Corsi HARO QOT Corsi HARD QOT Corsi HART QOT Corsi HARO QOC Corsi HARD QOC Corsi HART QOC




























15 POMINVILLE, JASON Minnesota 641:19 18.649 20.614 0.475 5.69 95.16 1.008 16.023 19.341 0.453 18.522 18.041 0.507 35.5 33.6 30.9 7.5 -28.9 -10.7 0.2 -19.4 -9.6 5.21 -7.04 -0.91

# Player Name Team TOI CF20 CA20 CF% CSh% CSv% CPDO TMCF20 TMCA20 TMCF% OppCF20 OppCA20 OppCF% OZFO% DZFO% NZFO% Corsi HARO Corsi HARD Corsi HART Corsi HARO QOT Corsi HARD QOT Corsi HART QOT Corsi HARO QOC Corsi HARD QOC Corsi HART QOC
1 PAGEAU, JEAN-GABRIEL Ottawa 91:28 21.210 14.213 0.599 4.12 96.92 1.010 20.415 17.798 0.534 18.081 18.367 0.496 35.6 32.9 31.5 17.9 18.6 18.3 13.8 -2.0 5.9 3.56 -13.40 -4.92

The number we are focusing on here is under CF% and in bold. And quite obviously, we have a winner. Jason Pominville needs to step it up.

So to sum all my points on statistics up here is a list of reasons why Pageau is better

Jean-Gabriel Pageau

- Averages more points per 60 min

- Corsi is higher. Much higher

-Averages more shots per 60 min

Those are three compelling reasons why Pageau is ALREADY better than Jason Pominville using statistics, There are plenty more I can use without statistics. Has Jason Pominville ever scored a hattrick in the playoffs in his rookie year? Didn't think so. Pageau brings the underdog element to the table and he is an offensive force playing alongside Erik Condra, who happens to be the worst breakaway scorer the world has ever seen. To add to all that, not only is Pageau already better than Pominville, but since this is only his second year he still has time to grow!

So that is why I personally guarantee that Spezza is going to get demoted to the third line and Turris to the fourth line while Pageau and Da Costa take up the first and second lines. I also guarantee that in three to five years he will be better than Sidney Crosby and Pavel Datsyuk combined. The first ever Gretzky the size of Martin St. Louis

Opening night comes and our first line will be Macarthur - Pageau - Kassian because Michalek will be injured and I bet Paul Maclean has already realized that Kassian is the real offensive force in our lineup.

To sum up, Pageau will NOT be the first line centre in three to five years.

It will be this year.

This FanPost was written by a member of the Silver Seven community, and does not necessarily reflect the beliefs or opinions of the site managers, editors, or Sports Blogs Nation, Inc.

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