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Silver Nuggets: Bryan Murray trade history; Lehner learning

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As I write this to you, I am very sleepy. Also, I have tried to watch the playoffs, more than I have ever watched non-Sens hockey. Still not the same without the Sens though, no matter how good the games. Please Craig Anderson, please be awesome next year and send us to the playoffs.

Still, it's not like I have no emotional investment. I can still cheer against the Habs, who were put in their place and lost last night. Although, the Bruins were hanging for dear life until notorious bad guy Chris Kelly scored into the empty net. For one night, a 3-0 Boston lead turned out to be safe.

In the day's other games, the Flyers beat the Sabres 4-2 (yay!), the Penguins beat the Lightning 3-2 (boo!) and the Red Wings beat the Coyotes 4-2 (yay!). Also, Chris Kunitz has a disciplinary hearing today for his elbow on Simon Gagne. If he is suspended, it will be the fourth time a Penguins player has been suspended this season (two for Matt Cooke, one for Eric Godard) not including the fifth that Kris Letang should have faced for his hit on Jason Spezza. There is just something about that club.

Here are today's links, as always, brought to you by mangoes, the official fruit of the Silver Nuggets.

General Sens News

  • Bryan Murray has made some great draft picks, but he's also made some terrible trades, and given out some terrible contracts. Here is a look at all the trades made by Murray. By my calculations, the trades average out to about a C+ which sounds about right. (Cory Clouston Fashion Review)
  • Nichols answers a bunch of Sens questions from readers, including one from yours truly. I will be honest though, when I sent in the question, I didn't think it was going to be a serious discussion. (The 6th Sens)
  • While Robin Lehner would love to play instead of being the backup right now, he accepts it. Also, when he was a child, Robin Lehner's dad shot the puck so hard at Robin Lehner's dad's son, that the neighbours complained to a children's aid society. (Citizen)
  • The latest ISS rankings differ significantly from the NHL Central Scouting rankings. Sean Couturier is third overall instead of sixth in North America. Jonathon Huburdeau down all the way to 8th in these rankings instead of 3rd in the NHL Central scouting rankings. (TSN)
  • The Binghamton Senators play Game 4 tonight, hoping to even up their series against the Manchester Monarchs. Here are some news and quotes. (Joy Lindsay)

More after the jump.

Star-divide

Playoff News

There are only two games tonight in the NHL as well as Binghamton playing.

Here are the other links:

  • NBC and Versus have extended their US TV deal with the NHL for a whopping 10 years. This should also increased the salary cap and thus the floor which is cap minus $16 million. (Yahoo!)
  • Here is Chris Kunitz being a Pittsburgh Penguin. Which means, being a dirty bastard. (Yahoo!)
  • Jack Edwards is awesome. (Yahoo!)

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Robin Lehner’s dad shot the puck so hard at Robin Lehner’s dad’s son

Awesome.

An Ottawa Senators fan blogging at www.silversevensens.com

by Peter Raaymakers on Apr 19, 2011 1:20 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

Haha

I forgot to put up a picture I think. Thanks!

Lehner is awesome!

An Ottawa Senators supporter in Toronto, Ontario. I am cool like that.

by Adnan on Apr 19, 2011 1:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

haha

I remember hearing that on the radio one day. apparently his dad rigged one of those automatic pitching machines to fire pucks instead of baseballs and one of them caught robin. he started yelling and thats when the neighbors called haha

by PWL on Apr 19, 2011 1:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Aaaaaaaaaaand....

…now I notice you already had a link about it.

by B_T on Apr 19, 2011 1:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

:)

An Ottawa Senators supporter in Toronto, Ontario. I am cool like that.

by Adnan on Apr 19, 2011 1:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Seabrook out tonight

With an “upper body injury” (Thanks Pat Quinn!). Though I suppose that the head is technically part of the upper body.

http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=362859

by B_T on Apr 19, 2011 2:01 PM EDT reply actions  

Jack Edwards is NOT awesome

Silver Seven - The Daniel Alfredsson of Ottawa Senators Blogs

by Mark Parisi on Apr 19, 2011 2:03 PM EDT reply actions  

You are just mad about "Cement Head"

An Ottawa Senators supporter in Toronto, Ontario. I am cool like that.

by Adnan on Apr 19, 2011 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

No way

It’s not like I love Z. Smith for his supergeniosity.

Silver Seven - The Daniel Alfredsson of Ottawa Senators Blogs

by Mark Parisi on Apr 19, 2011 2:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

Adnan!

Ive tried emailing you about the fantasy pool, i still have no idea how to get into it!

by Sens4Life11 on Apr 19, 2011 2:43 PM EDT reply actions  

I answered anyone who emailed!

But fine I’ll just say it here, since people can’t really edit anything.

www.pickuphockey.com
poolname: silverseven69
password: 5i5ter

You are well ahead in 1st. :P

An Ottawa Senators supporter in Toronto, Ontario. I am cool like that.

by Adnan on Apr 19, 2011 2:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

Re: The 6th Sens post

I liked the question regarding “would you trade Cowen + a pick for Edmonton’s first”. If we did that who would you get?

A while back when we were dreaming up 1st overall pick draft scenarios, and discussing possible trade ups if we fell to thrid, a few mentioned trading up using Cowen, to get Larrson. Would you still do that? Or would you trade up to get RNH? Or would you stay put?

by Los Blancos Chicca on Apr 19, 2011 2:58 PM EDT reply actions  

I would be open to trading Cowen for the right deal

Then we can get two quality forwards in the top 6 (and potentially a third if we don’t use Nashville’s pick to get Edmonton’s first).

People do seem to rate Cowen pretty highly though. But I think If his ceiling is just as a shut down defenceman, I think a #1 overall forward is worth it to sacrifice him. He did have 48 points in 58 games though, so maybe he can be more Zdeno Chara than Chris Phillips.

An Ottawa Senators supporter in Toronto, Ontario. I am cool like that.

by Adnan on Apr 19, 2011 3:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

I would love it and keep him if he could be more like Chara.

Guys like that are harder to find than the shut down D guy.

So you would scarfice a Defensive prospect for a forward.

by Los Blancos Chicca on Apr 19, 2011 3:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed - I would keep him if he is closer to Chara

But I have only seen the guy play one game in my life, so I can’t really comment.

We do have a bunch of defensive prospects and virtually no offensive prospects, I would be okay with balancing it a little bit.

An Ottawa Senators supporter in Toronto, Ontario. I am cool like that.

by Adnan on Apr 19, 2011 3:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think Cowen is going to be somewhere in between Chara and Philips. I don’t think he’ll be a top Offensive defencemen or be on the first PP unit, but he’ll be a good DD with the ability to move and shoot the puck better than Philips. I think he will be a great 3rd, 4th d-man that will come cheaper than a karlsson or runblad. I think trading him now would be a mistake.

by Eric Cartman on Apr 19, 2011 3:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

I could see Cowen's ceiling as a top pairing guy

He doesn’t need major PP minutes, because that’s what we’ve got Karlsson and MechaKarlsson for.

Silver Seven - The Daniel Alfredsson of Ottawa Senators Blogs

by Mark Parisi on Apr 19, 2011 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oddly enough...

Chris Phillips had 48P in 58GP in his final season in junior. Projecting NHL offence based on CHL offence is always tough, but especially so with defencemen. So I’m not sold on Cowen becoming Chara-esque, although he nearly has the size for it.

An Ottawa Senators fan blogging at www.silversevensens.com

by Peter Raaymakers on Apr 19, 2011 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Haha what a coincidence.

That’s what I meant when I said the league he played in this past year.

by Los Blancos Chicca on Apr 19, 2011 3:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

Philips was also only a few years removed from being a forward.

by ojc on Apr 19, 2011 3:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

I wouldn’t be that happy to give up Cowen even if we got the #1 pick out of it. I guess a straight up deal or throwing in the second rounder from Chicago would be a good value trade for Ottawa, but we would be losing the best defensive defenseman in the system. The Sens could take a D-man with Nashville’s pick, but he would be at least a couple of years behind Cowen in terms of development.

I see Cowen as potentially a very good partner for Karlsson down the road. Karlsson could cause havoc with his offensive skills while Cowen would be minding the store. When it came to the defensive zone, Cowen could clear the front of the net while Karlsson could intercept passes, break up the play and initiate the rush up ice. All total speculation of course, but Cowen just seems to fit with my idea of a future Senators squad.

by DW19 on Apr 19, 2011 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think Edmonton would trade out of the top 10 for Cowen plus no first rounder

I don’t think any team would. You have to think the price of the first overall pick is going to involve any partner’s first pick as well.

The Senators have one roster player realistically worth the first pick all by himself, and Murray’s already labeled him untouchable.

Silver Seven - The Daniel Alfredsson of Ottawa Senators Blogs

by Mark Parisi on Apr 19, 2011 5:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree, which is why I don’t buy into the trade with Edmonton scenario. I think coming out of the draft with Cowen + Strome/Huberdeau would be preferable to coming out with RNH only.

As far as trading up, I think the 3-5 picks where a team might grab Landeskog would be a more realistic scenario because the price would not be so high.

by DW19 on Apr 20, 2011 10:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

Well yeah, I wouldn't do it for Cowen AND 6th pick

But coming out of it with Nugent-Hopkins and Strome/Huberdeau would be better than Cowen and Strome/Huberdeau.

Well I think so anyway.

An Ottawa Senators supporter in Toronto, Ontario. I am cool like that.

by Adnan on Apr 20, 2011 10:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

If Ottawa could engineer a straight-up Cowen for RNH trade then that would be something they would have to seriously consider. However, I think that the mystique of the #1 pick makes that trade unlikely.

by DW19 on Apr 20, 2011 10:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

We could add in a 2nd rounder + Cowen for #1 overall

If it’s Cowen + Nashville pick for #1 overall. Then I don’t know, it’s tough.

An Ottawa Senators supporter in Toronto, Ontario. I am cool like that.

by Adnan on Apr 20, 2011 10:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

The problem, from the Edmonton GM’s point of view, is that if even one player in the draft turns out to be better than Cowen he will look like an idiot if he makes that trade. That makes me think that he would be extremely unlikely to agree unless Ottawa included the #6 pick in the deal.

by DW19 on Apr 20, 2011 10:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

Well, if that's the case

Then yeah I wouldn’t do that trade. I would only trade Cowen if we got two picks in top 6.

An Ottawa Senators supporter in Toronto, Ontario. I am cool like that.

by Adnan on Apr 20, 2011 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

In that case, a better target would be the #3 pick where the Sens could select Landeskog/Couturier (assuming RNH & Larsson go 1st&2nd).

It would be Landeskog/Couturier+Strome/Huberdeau vs. Cowen+Strome/Huberdeau.

That’s a close call for me.

by DW19 on Apr 20, 2011 10:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don't see us trading Cowen though

I do think it is unlikely we move to #1, since I would prefer Landeskog over Nugent-Hopkins anyway, #3 (or maybe #2) makes more sense than #1.

It sure will be interesting on draft day.

An Ottawa Senators supporter in Toronto, Ontario. I am cool like that.

by Adnan on Apr 20, 2011 10:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

+1

“It sure will be interesting on draft day.”

I totally agree with you. In fact, the whole time from now to the draft will be fun for us to watch and try guess what is coming.

by DW19 on Apr 20, 2011 10:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don't see why not

If they agree with your assessment, that Cowen is just as good long term as a Nugent-Hopkins, etc., and they can sneak a lower pick out of it as well, then why not?

An Ottawa Senators supporter in Toronto, Ontario. I am cool like that.

by Adnan on Apr 20, 2011 10:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think I'd trade him to get a forward

I’d like to keep Cowen in our system, because I’m excited to see what he can do, but we need dynamic young forwards. If our scouts think any of the top players in this year’s draft can become that, we should do what we can to get them.

An Ottawa Senators fan blogging at www.silversevensens.com

by Peter Raaymakers on Apr 19, 2011 3:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah that is what I was trying to see...

If fans on here would go for a top forward prospect over a highly rated defensive prospect if given the opportunity. I guess it’s possible to make u for the loss of a shutdown D prospect in the later stage of the draft. But nabbing a top forward is more difficult.

by Los Blancos Chicca on Apr 19, 2011 3:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

Especially when we just had the worst offensive season in club history

We’d have Spezza, and maybe 2 high-end forwards for the future. And we would have Karlsson and Rundblad as offensive defenceman.

I guess we’d be short of defensive defenceman, but like you said, maybe we can nab one in the later rounds, or even with Nashville’s pick.

An Ottawa Senators supporter in Toronto, Ontario. I am cool like that.

by Adnan on Apr 19, 2011 3:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Murray has been high on Gryba for two years now.

by ojc on Apr 19, 2011 3:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

Don't trade him

Assuming we have 2 rebuilding years ahead of us, we have:
for sure: Phillips, Karlsson
if we resign: Lee, Carkner
prospects: Cowen, Rundblad, Wiercoch?

I think if we were to take Cowen out of that mix, we’d lose a lot in the defensive angle and size department. Phillips, Lee and Carkner as our defensive D doesn’t sound like a hard time for our opponents.

Maybe Weircioch is supposed to add on the defensive side? I don’t know much about him but saw that he had 2nd worst +/- on the B-sens this year, so I’m guessing not.

Unless we’re adding a premier defenseman like Shea Weber, I’d say we should stick with (hopefully) our Chara/Pronger/Weber-type prospect.

by Joebo on Apr 19, 2011 4:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Okay but

After next season, Alfie will almost certainly retire I think. Then, up front we have:

for sure: Spezza, Michalek
prospects: Butler

And that’s it in terms of any kind of top 6 potential.

An Ottawa Senators supporter in Toronto, Ontario. I am cool like that.

by Adnan on Apr 19, 2011 4:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

True we need offense

But offense develops quicker than defense, so hopefully next couple drafts help stock the top two lines. For instance, I’m hoping our 6th pick this year turns into a 2nd line regular in 2 years.

I’m hoping Regin can bounce back and contribute on the 2nd line either at C or if moved to the wing. Otherwise, hopefully we can trade and/or package him for someone who can. Someone bigger or named Marleau would be great :)

After that, we’re short one guy, which I’m hoping is the one Bryan Murray has been talking about signing in the offseason. Hopefully he gets it right.

by Joebo on Apr 19, 2011 5:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Offensive prospects

We should be adding offensive prospects with the #6 pick(Strome?) and Nashville’s pick(Jansen?). Depending on next season, we may add a pretty good offensive prospect in next year’s draft, too. This is not even counting the FA market that Ottawa may dip into a year or two down the line. Montreal’s attack has been pretty decent since the added Gionta and Cammalleri to homegrown guys like Plekanec, Kostitsyn, etc…

The Sens also have some not bad secondary scoring options like Regin, (assuming he has a bounce-back year), DeCosta, Shannon(not a prospect, obviously).

Finally, the Sens have a great looking blueliner in Rundblad who is likely to add offense to the line-up as well. Down the road my best case scenario for the Sens defense would be:

Karlsson-Cowen (offense and defense balanced)
Rundblad-Wiercioch (two all-arounders with reasonable size)

That is a pretty nice top four that would harken back to the days of Phillips-Redden-Chara when Ottawa’s blue line was a key strength of the team.

On your fourth pairing you could go with Lee, Gryba, Phillips(while he is still around) and whatever FAs and/or college prospects BMurray manages to dig up.

That’s a long winded way to say that I think the rebuild is on track and there is no need to hastily dump a good prospect like Cowen.

by DW19 on Apr 20, 2011 10:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

I am sure it could work out keeping Cowen

I am not saying he is terrible. I just think getting an additional high end forward is more valuable than the type of player Cowen might turn out to be.

I think the rebuild is on track with keeping Cowen, but trading Cowen won’t necessarily derail the rebuild, and would improve it in my opinion given the right deal.

An Ottawa Senators supporter in Toronto, Ontario. I am cool like that.

by Adnan on Apr 20, 2011 10:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think you are undervaluing shutdown defensemen in general. I don’t know if you remember what happened to Ottawa in the finals against Anaheim when the Ducks were able to shutdown the CASH line with their shutdown defensemen. As I recall, it was not good news for the Sens. Conversely, Ottawa had no shutdown D-men who could get the job done against Getzlaf and Perry and paid the price for that.

by DW19 on Apr 20, 2011 10:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

We had Phillips and Volchenkov

Who were both pretty good back then. I do remember though, we made the finals because Alfredsson, Spezza and Heatley were so dominant.

But yeah, I definitely value a high end forward more than a shut down defenceman, not a contest in my books.

An Ottawa Senators supporter in Toronto, Ontario. I am cool like that.

by Adnan on Apr 20, 2011 10:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

Phillips and Volchenkov were good defensive d-men, but neither had the physical presence that Cowen will have once he fills out.

by DW19 on Apr 20, 2011 10:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

I wouldn't

If Murray truly intends to draft the best player available, we’d essentially be trading Cowen + whatever else to get Larsson, which would leave us with fewer picks and the same number of defensemen. Larsson may be supermega All-World, but he may not. Cowen was considered a top five pick prior to injury, so we’d essentially be trading a top defensive prospect for… a top defensive prospect? It’s a lateral move at best, and one that we have to pay extra for the right to do.

If you don’t take Larsson, then you’re essentially overpaying to draft someone you hope will be a top line forward. But there’s no clear cut player like that in this year’s draft, and the constant juggling and lack of consensus in ratings proves it. There’s a high likelihood you’ll get a player of similar talent while staying at number six.

I think the people willing to make the move are the ones clinging to a belief that the team won’t be terrible next year, as if somehow this year were a fluke, or a roster of rookies won’t get smoked as they learn the ropes. It’s an unrealistic expectation to think anyone we draft next year is going to have a major impact on the team’s fortunes. As far as I know, there’s one way to rebuild a team, and it’s not by trading away top prospects to chase hope. The Senators just started to restock the shelves, so trading Cowen would be like spending your paycheck before it’s even deposited. We need to keep our guys, take our lumps, and not try to build through one draft.

Silver Seven - The Daniel Alfredsson of Ottawa Senators Blogs

by Mark Parisi on Apr 19, 2011 5:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not really an appropriate analogy

Your analogy of spending your paycheque before it is even deposited would be true if we trade for 28 year old. Trading him to get a another top forward is changing jobs to one with the same pay now but with better hope of a raise in the future.

An Ottawa Senators supporter in Toronto, Ontario. I am cool like that.

by Adnan on Apr 19, 2011 5:48 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I was with you until your own analogy

But there’s no guarantee anyone we select will pan out, so the “better hope of a raise” is literally just hope. There’s just no prospect in this draft good enough to say for sure they’d have more of an impact on the Senators’ future than Cowen. If there were, I’d be fine with trading him, but prospects are called prospects because no one knows what’s going to happen.

Silver Seven - The Daniel Alfredsson of Ottawa Senators Blogs

by Mark Parisi on Apr 19, 2011 5:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

Who cares about rough analogies. I think Mark’s point is correct. There is little to be gained by trading away Cowen to move in the draft.

Adnan, if your argument is that the Sens should trade Cowen straight up for RNH/Lando that is fine, but you would have to get the other side to agree.

by DW19 on Apr 20, 2011 10:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

Me neither

I think a lot of people fell in love with the idea of a top three pick and can’t let go of it. They want the pick more than they want the player they’ll draft with it.

I don’t see a prospect in the top 5 that’s worth trading Cowen for. Even if his ceiling is as a strictly shut down defenseman, he’s still the Senators’ only blue-chip physical, shut down D prospect.

by HaBla on Apr 20, 2011 3:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

More likely scenario

Is that BM trades our #6 pick for a top guy who was drafted a year or two back (like the Rundblad trade) who a team values less than whoever is available at 6 this year.

This may or may not add talent, but would presumably produce a player that’s more ready to step in immediately.

I imagine the Sens and BM have multiple guys running through all the possibilities to form a plan with all kinds of options before the draft. I would bet that he comes out of it with someone for a top-6 forward role, sometime in the next 3 seasons.

by Joebo on Apr 22, 2011 4:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree with your points Mark...

I don’t have an answer for my own question. I asked it to see what the reaction would be if that scenario was to take place. I assume that management would not have a plan contingent on the team tanking and getting a top 3 pick. I think they know better to plan for any scenario.

Normally I would go for the offensive prospect given our lack of top line offensive prospects. But in this particular case, it would be taking the cork out of one hole and placing it on another hole, because we also have a lack of blue chip d-men.

A lot of fans (me being one of them) wanted a top pick to compensate for this year’s play. But I am not one of the fans that think this year’s performance was a fluke. It was an end of an era in Sens history and the begining of a new one. It’s an inevitable cycle. Some teams just have an awesome scouting system to make the transition easier.

by Los Blancos Chicca on Apr 27, 2011 8:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

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