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How hard is it for an Ottawa Senators draft pick to win the Stanley Cup?


The short answer: Very hard.

In the spirit of From The Rink's James Mirtle's "How hard is it to win the Stanley Cup?" and Habs Eyes on the Prize's Robert L.'s "How Hard Is It For A First-Round Pick To Win A Stanley Cup?" comes this exploration of the chances an Ottawa Senators draft choice might go on to win the Stanley Cup. The answer?

Zero per cent.

Star-divide


Since the franchise first started drafting in the 1992 NHL Entry Draft, 151 prospects have had their name called by Ottawa brass, and not one of those individuals has gone on to hoist the Stanley Cup over their head. Certainly, the sample size is relatively small, and it's true that only 14 per cent of NHLers ever win the championship, but doesn't this indicate a fairly ugly drafting record for the seven all-time Ottawa Senators general managers?

Pundits have historically given the Ottawa Senators some reasonable kudos for drafting well, thanks in large part to selecting diamonds-in-the-rough who are able to develop into regular NHL contributors. But for every Daniel Alfredsson (1994, 6th round, 133 overall) and Sami Salo (1996, 9th round, 239 overall), there's a Mathieu Chouinard (1998, 1st round, 15 overall) and Jakup Klepis (2002, 1st round, 16 overall).

Although 41 per cent of the Senators' 151 all-time draft choices (62 in real terms) have gone on to play at least one NHL game, only 17 per cent (or 26 players) have hit the 200-game mark, and 8.6 (13 individuals) per cent have played over 500 career NHL games. This, of course, includes players drafted in recent years who haven't had the opportunity to play in the NHL yet, but the statistics remain interesting nonetheless.

Although he and the Detroit Red Wings didn't manage to seal the deal on Tuesday night, Marian Hossa has the opportunity to be the first Ottawa Senators draft pick ever to win the Stanley Cup this Friday in game seven of the Stanley Cup Final. And if he doesn't, well, it's anyone's guess as to who could be the first.

For anyone interested, here are the numbers for each draft year since the Senators' joined the NHL:

  • 2008: 0/7
  • 2007: 0/4
  • 2006: 0/7
  • 2005: 0/8
  • 2004: 0/11
  • 2003: 0/9
  • 2002: 0/8
  • 2001: 0/12
  • 2000: 0/9
  • 1999: 0/10
  • 1998: 0/10
  • 1997: 0/8
  • 1996: 0/7
  • 1995: 0/9
  • 1994: 0/10
  • 1993: 0/10
  • 1992: 0/12

And just for fun, can anyone think of a player who left the Ottawa Senators and then won the Stanley Cup afterwards? I'm having a hard time thinking of any. Feel free to post in the comments.

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That’s a pretty amazing stat.

As for ex-Sens who went on to win a Cup… man… Andre Roy?

Down Goes Brown - Unapologetically nostalgic for the past. Brutally realistic about the present. Grudgingly optimistic about the future.

by Down Goes Brown on Jun 10, 2009 10:27 AM EDT reply actions  

heh, great article Peter. I didn’t realize that. Wow.

by DarrenM on Jun 10, 2009 10:42 AM EDT reply actions  

“Go ahead and write it, I guarantee we’ll win the Cup.” – Daniel Alfredsson, 2004.

Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.

by Chemmy on Jun 10, 2009 10:58 AM EDT reply actions  

Dominik Hasek – 2007-08 Wings.
Steve Duchesne – 2001-02 Wings
Mike Peluso – 1994-95 Devils.
Also, apparently Stan Neckar played a few playoff games for Tampa in 2003-04, so he might be considered too?

by dzuunmod on Jun 10, 2009 1:45 PM EDT reply actions  

I think you’ve got them all.

The player I think is the most hilarious is Vaclav Prospal. Left Ottawa, eventually landed in Tampa. Leaves Tampa for a year in 2003-04 to go to defending Western Champs Anaheim (did they even make the playoffs?) and loses out on a Stanley Cup. He kinda sounds like Hossa to me…

Andre Roy, left Ottawa for Tampa, played with Prospal there, but stayed for the ’04 Cup.
Neckar, also played with Prospal in Ottawa and was there with Roy for the Cup. Neckar left Ottawa before Roy arrived, though.

Jody Hull and Marty Straka left Ottawa for Florida and lost in the Final in 1996 to Curtis Leschyshyn’s Avalanche, Leschyshyn played for the Caps and Senators later.
Sean Hill was on the 2002 Hurricanes that lost to Detroit in the Final.

by Marshall Pirate on Jun 12, 2009 4:16 PM EDT reply actions  

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