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A realistic trade scenario?

Last Saturday on Hockey Night in Canada, Pierre LeBrun mentioned at the end of the Hotstove mentioned that Peter Mueller of the Phoenix Coyotes might not be getting along with new head coach Dave Tippett.  The team over at Five For Howling has a great article on this comment and what leads to this speculation.  In short, Tippett has moved the team from the nebulous whatever Gretzky was coaching to a defensively-minded system, where Mueller has struggled -- for the year he is a minus three with only one goal and three assists.  In Monday’s game against Edmonton, he was even with one shot in 11:07 of ice time, most of it coming on the fourth line.

 

While those are not numbers that would jump out at you, make no mistake, Mueller is the right fit for Ottawa. 

Star-divide

His rookie year he unleashed a stat line of 22 goals and 32 assists, and he followed it up with a less impressive campaign of 13-23-36.  As a Phoenix resident, I have had the chance to watch him on the ice these past three years, and I like what I see.  He is big (6-2, 205), fast, and a natural shooter.  Only 21, he has some room to grow into a scorer in the right environment. 

 

If there’s even a whiff of truth to this rumor, GM Bryan Murray should jump all over it while Mueller can be had for less than he'll wind up being worth.  Ottawa has made deals with Phoenix in the past, and with Tippet’s system, they are one of the few teams the team can make a legitimate offer to.

 

To wit: Chris Kelly, Ryan Shannon, and San Jose’s 2nd rounder for Peter Mueller.

 

Why it works:  Scottie Upshall, Matthew Lombardi, and Martin Hanzal (healthy scratch against Edmonton) appear to be the offensive players Phoenix is building around.  Kelly and Shannon are perfect fits for a more defensive system like the one Tippett has in place in Phoenix.  Both players are extremely responsible defensively, and Shannon has the speed to make plays happen.  Shannon’s size is also less of a worry in the Pacfici Division, especially with Pronger no longer there.  He has bounced around here in Ottawa this year, but could easily find a home on the Coyotes’ third line alongside Kelly.  Phoenix has the cap room (~ $15.9M under) to fit both players and re-sign Shannon, who is an unrestricted free agent next year, if he fits well.  In addition, Phoenix gains another draft pick, which they will almost certainly need to continue their building process.

 

In retrun, Ottawa gains a potentially good goal scorer to compliment what is already on the team and clears approximately $2.6M off of their books.  Some of this money can be used to re-sign Mueller, who is a restricted free agent next year, with the remainder going towards Volchenkov, who must be locked up.  He would be immediately insertable on our second line and playing alongside Fisher and Kovalev, I believe he would flourish.  This would also give the team the luxury of pairing Foligno and Regin on the third line, where the two should work well together.

 

Why it doesn’t work:  Peter Mueller is going to grow into quite a good hockey player and the Coyotes would be very, very stupid to let him go.

This FanPost was written by a member of the Silver Seven community, and does not necessarily reflect the beliefs or opinions of the site managers, editors, or Sports Blogs Nation, Inc.

0 recs  |  Comment 6 comments

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Really?

I think the Senators will have to give up more than Shannon, Kelly, and quite possibly the 60th overall pick to land Mueller the 7th pick overall in the 2006 Draft. That deal sounds very Leaf fan-esque.
No doubt Mueller would be a tremendous fit for the Sens’ but would have to offer more than that in order to land him with Karlsson being the first priority for the Coyotes to get back in exchange for Mueller not to mention another player of significance (Regin or Foligno).
If anything the Coyotes may deal Mueller to the Kings in exchange for Frolov and their first pick.

It's never about the eventual destination, but rather the long journey and its challenging obstacles that are presented and what it takes to overcome them, that makes the taste of success all the more worthwhile!!!

by hawks61 on Nov 25, 2009 10:47 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Thos are all fair points, and I think your estimate is probably closer to what Mueller’s true value is worth, though I don’t know that I would give up Frolov and a first for him. But right now, he’s a fourth-liner with 4 points and a minus three on the year. If that’s truly how the Coyotes percieve him, then I think two players and a pick is a decent offer. If he can be bought low, he should be.

by Mark Parisi on Nov 25, 2009 11:14 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Mueller

This could be what the Sens need… an underachieving forward who can come in and get Spezza and / or Kovalev moving. Does Mueller know how to play defensively because Clouston demands that? He’s -25 over the last three seasons. That could maybe just mean bad coaching. Also he’s a right-handed shot like so many others on the Sens. All the same, he costs $850K and that’s alot less than many of the Sens forwards without the scoring potential that he has.

by Marvellous on Nov 26, 2009 1:42 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Mueller is a borderline defensive liability right now, which is why he is playing such limited minutes in Phoenix. He would need to be on a line with defensively responsible forwards, like Fisher, if he were to come to Ottawa. Still, he has the size and speed to be a strong defensive player. He has been called soft defensively, but I believe his numbers are more a reflection of coaching than inability to play. Gretzky’s system didn’t emphasize defense (it didn’t emphasize anything, really), but Tippett’s does. Watching Mueller this year, I see a hesitant player. I don’t think it’s that he can’t play, I think it’s that he’s not sure of his responsibilities. Clouston’s system seems simpler to me — Hell, Spezza gets it — and I think Mueller is capable of at least learning it, though he’s never going to be a Selke finalist.

I truly don’t believe Phoenix will move him, though. His upside is far to great to give up on him so quickly.

by Mark Parisi on Nov 26, 2009 2:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

“far too great,” rather. I know the difference.

by Mark Parisi on Nov 26, 2009 2:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Sounds like a lot of the Senators' players from the Hartsburg era

Hesitant to make a play for fear of making a mistake, so they’re just constantly trying to catch up to their opponents.

by PeterR on Nov 27, 2009 11:41 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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